3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,100 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,065/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,517
Tax + insurance
−$587
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$854
Net cashflow
$107/mo
Annual
$1,283/yr
Cap rate
6.56%
Cash-on-cash
0.95%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$134,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $480k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $406k (15.3% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($473k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $406k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Auburn (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #127 of 302 in MA (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Swanson Road Intermediate School (math 40% / reading 56%, grade D, #367 of 938 statewide, top 39%, 554 students, 0% FRL); Auburn Middle (math 42% / reading 48%, grade D, #113 of 305 statewide, top 38%, 652 students, 0% FRL); Auburn Senior High (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B, #97 of 343 statewide, top 30%, 841 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 18% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $244k; list at $480k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MHSTM3E6FXAW4X
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29