4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,898 sqft ·
Built 1971
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,430/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,542
Tax + insurance
−$266
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$510
Net cashflow
$112/mo
Annual
$1,343/yr
Cap rate
6.75%
Cash-on-cash
1.63%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$82,320
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $294k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $112 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (17.3% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $243k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#2 in NV, #1,723 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Clark County School District (urban): math 21% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #11 of 17 in NV (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Smith Helen M Es (math 18% / reading 42%, grade F, #187 of 402 statewide, top 48%, 492 students, 100% FRL); Johnson Walter Jhs Academy of Int'L Studies (math 26% / reading 46%, grade F, #28 of 109 statewide, top 28%, 1,356 students, 100% FRL); Bonanza Hs (math 10% / reading 24%, grade F, #103 of 131 statewide, top 81%, 2,035 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 52% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.0%/yr); 178 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 14,754 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (2,301 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clark County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MJ3HGK768YARBT
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29