4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,684 sqft ·
Built 1925
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,518/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$598
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$739
Net cashflow
$1,053/mo
Annual
$12,642/yr
Cap rate
12.17%
Cash-on-cash
21.00%
DSCR
1.93
1% rule
1.64%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $527/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $215k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $212k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in NY, #81 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
East Syracuse Minoa Central School District (rural): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #379 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: East Syracuse Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,577 of 2,108 statewide, top 77%, 363 students, 70% FRL); Pine Grove Middle School (math 29% / reading 49%, grade F, #433 of 729 statewide, top 60%, 672 students, 43% FRL); East Syracuse Minoa Central High School (math 97% / reading 87%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 1,183 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 29% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $96k; list at $215k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 7.0% in East Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,518/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 250% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MJ9ZV269NQBP9A
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29