1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
512 sqft ·
Built 2020
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,330/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$267
HOA
−$15
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$279
Net cashflow
$-70/mo
Annual
$-839/yr
Cap rate
5.77%
Cash-on-cash
-1.87%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-70 ($-839/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $150k (6.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (16.9% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $133k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#127 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Seligman Unified District (4472) (rural): math 20% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #339 of 501 in AZ (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 293 active listings in the ZIP; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.0% in Seligman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant rust and damage
Major: exterior siding
— Peeling paint and exposed wood
Major: foundation
— No visible foundation, but exposed wood suggests potential issues
CashFlowRE · CFR-MJAB6P9W63P70T
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29