4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,240 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 132 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$15,667/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,272
Tax + insurance
−$1,040
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,290
Net cashflow
$8,064/mo
Annual
$96,771/yr
Cap rate
21.80%
Cash-on-cash
55.39%
DSCR
3.46
1% rule
2.51%
Cash to close
$174,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $624k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($97k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($16k rent vs $624k).
It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($549k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $549k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $36k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#964 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, cost of living D+.
Windham-Ashland-Jewett Central School District (rural): math 55% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #517 of 755 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 97 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $175k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$57k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 21.8% vs local median 2.8% in Windham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $15,667/mo this rent would consume 276% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 38% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MJDRVP9C96SG5Y
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29