3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,500 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Manufactured
· Active
· 74 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,197/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$251
Net cashflow
$121/mo
Annual
$1,450/yr
Cap rate
7.37%
Cash-on-cash
3.84%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$37,799
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $121 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (11.3% below list).
It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $120k (11.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($934 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#505 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Gans (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #379 of 513 in OK (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Gans Es (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #479 of 845 statewide, top 63%, 239 students, 0% FRL); Gans Hs (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #361 of 447 statewide, top 94%, 107 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 69% district-wide (69 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in Sequoyah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sequoyah County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.8% in Muldrow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered appearance
Minor: Landscaping
— Overgrown grass and weeds
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29