2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
916 sqft ·
Built 1890
· Other
· Active
· 88 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,029/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$214
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$-134/mo
Annual
$-1,611/yr
Cap rate
5.14%
Cash-on-cash
-4.11%
DSCR
0.82
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-134 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $116k (16.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $103k (26.4% below list).
It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (26.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in SD, #610 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Sioux Falls School District 49-5 (urban): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #45 of 59 in SD (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lowell Elementary - 28 (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #205 of 253 statewide, top 85%, 358 students, 74% FRL); George Mcgovern Middle School -09 (math 11% / reading 22%, grade F, #138 of 143 statewide, top 96%, 719 students, 59% FRL); Lincoln High School - 02 (math 48% / reading 71%, grade C+, #31 of 151 statewide, top 32%, 1,883 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 36% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,425 units permitted in Minnehaha County in 2024 (1,367 in 5+ unit buildings).
Minnehaha County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $140k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.6% in Sioux Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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