3 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,055 sqft ·
Built 2009
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 790 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,744/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$26
Tax + insurance
−$8
HOA
−$75
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$366
Net cashflow
$1,268/mo
Annual
$15,216/yr
Cap rate
310.62%
Cash-on-cash
1086.88%
DSCR
49.36
1% rule
34.88%
Cash to close
$1,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
It's been on market 790 days — a 12% lower offer ($4k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $4k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#96 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, schools B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Columbia Falls H S (town): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #198 of 339 in MT (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 168 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 281 units permitted in Flathead County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Flathead County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 310.6% vs local median 1.2% in Columbia Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 790 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MKZP6R47GMG8FW
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29