🏷️ Likely Rental
124 Spyglass Hill Loop Unit 1483 47-E · Columbia Falls, MT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$5,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Pools and spa
- Penthouse unit
- Kintla lodge
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Meadow Lake subdivision; Community features include golf
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with quarterly fee (about $225.44); Association fee includes cable TV, electricity, gas, insurance, internet, grounds and structure maintenance, sewer, security, trash, water, and snow removal; Community amenities: elevator(s), fitness center, indoor pool, pool, sauna, spa/hot tub, playground, park, picnic area, landscaping, management, parking, snow removal
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas available and connected; Electricity connected; Cable connected; Phone connected; Underground utilities; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential timeshare
- Construction: Wood siding and Masonite exterior; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Rain gutters; Located on a golf course; Asphalt road frontage on a private, privately maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating; Forced air; Hot water heating
- Interior features: Fireplace; Crawl space and concrete basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).
- Recommended offer: $4k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 310.6% vs local median 1.4% in Columbia Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#96 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, schools B; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Columbia Falls H S (town): math 25% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #198 of 339 in MT (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 281 units permitted in Flathead County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Flathead County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 788 days — a 12% lower offer ($4k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 788 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 34.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 310.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1086.88%
- DSCR
- 49.36
- GRM
- 0.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $908,310
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 568 Saint Andrews Dr | 0.14mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,897 (-8%) | 10mo | $699,000 | $368 | 61 |
| 235 Potter Ln | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,884 (-8%) | 3mo | $699,000 | $371 | 60 |
| 244 Pine Valley Ct | 0.47mi | 3/3.0 | 1,809 (-12%) | 11mo | $799,000 | $442 | 45 |
| 1470 Tamarack Ln | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 2,255 (+10%) | 17mo | $350,000 | $155 | 43 |
| 136 Turnberry Ter | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,852 (-10%) | 9mo | $995,000 | $537 | 39 |
| 373 Gleneagles Trl | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 | 1,931 (-6%) | 14mo | $885,000 | $458 | 38 |
| 136 Oakmont Loop | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,756 (-14%) | 1mo | $874,900 | $498 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 58.16×
- Total profit
- $80,024
- Equity at exit
- $746
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 125.27×
- Total profit
- $173,971
- Equity at exit
- $432
Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59912
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 0.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,744 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$26
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$6 /mo · $75/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$75
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$366
- Net cashflow
- $1,268
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,271 | -5% $1,270 | +0% $1,268 | +5% $1,266 | +10% $1,265 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,130 | -5% $1,199 | +0% $1,268 | +5% $1,337 | +10% $1,406 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,271 | -0.5pp $1,269 | base $1,268 | +0.5pp $1,267 | +1.0pp $1,265 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,250
- Closing costs
- $150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $75 · $900/yr
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $5,000 Active 788 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $5,000 Active 787 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $5,000 Active 786 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $5,000 Active 785 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $5,000 Active 784 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $5,000 Active 782 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $5,000 Active 781 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $5,000 Active 779 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $5,000 Active 778 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $5,000 Active 777 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $5,000 Active 776 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $5,000 Active 773 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $5,000 Active 772 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $5,000 Active 771 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $5,000 Active 770 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $5,000 Active 769 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $5,000 Active 768 DOM
-
2024-04-23$5,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,925
- − Mortgage interest
- −$280
- − Property taxes
- −$75
- − Insurance
- −$25
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,674
- − Management
- −$1,674
- − HOA
- −$900
- − Depreciation
- −$145
- Taxable income
- $16,152
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,876
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,340/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia Falls H S
- NCES district ID
- 3007140
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,266
- Composite
- 30.43/100
- National rank
- #11516
- State rank
- #198 of 339 in MT
Livability — Columbia Falls
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #96
- US rank
- #9792
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Flathead County · 94,027 people
- City population
- 15,752
- Metro
- Kalispell, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,752
- Household income
- $76,617
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 242.0
Population outlook (Flathead County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 108,002 people
- By 2030
- 113,362 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 122,245 · +13.2%
- By 2050
- 129,517 · +19.9%
- By 2075
- 146,737 · +35.9%
- By 2100
- 155,045 · +43.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Flathead
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.8) · D 31.8% · R 65.5% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -21.6pp · 2024: -33.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.8 2020: R+29.9 2016: R+36.5 2012: R+33.4 2008: R+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -219.09%
- Current HPI
- 252.1381
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Kalispell, MT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2024-04-23 Listed $5,000 MRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…