3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,277 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,482/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$818
Tax + insurance
−$334
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$311
Net cashflow
$19/mo
Annual
$226/yr
Cap rate
6.44%
Cash-on-cash
0.52%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$43,652
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $156k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($226/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (4.9% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (4.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#174 in NY, #2,710 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Susquehanna Valley Central School District (rural): math 48% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #330 of 590 in NY (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Brookside Elementary School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #988 of 2,108 statewide, top 49%, 386 students, 45% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MPDB3T25PV6C56
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29