4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,492 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,447/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,437
Tax + insurance
−$329
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$514
Net cashflow
$167/mo
Annual
$2,004/yr
Cap rate
7.02%
Cash-on-cash
2.61%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$76,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $274k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $245k (10.7% below list).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $245k (10.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#61 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, commute F, employment D-.
Flathead H S (town): math 29% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #55 of 116 in MT (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Elrod School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #166 of 293 statewide, top 61%, 231 students, 0% FRL); Kalispell Middle School (math 50% / reading 61%, grade B-, #13 of 146 statewide, top 8%, 1,045 students, 0% FRL); Flathead High School (math 22% / reading 50%, grade F, #50 of 132 statewide, top 37%, 1,626 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 693 active listings in the ZIP; 281 units permitted in Flathead County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Flathead County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.1% in Kalispell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MRH15W91BG8X74
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29