2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
968 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$784/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$230
Tax + insurance
−$120
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$165
Net cashflow
$269/mo
Annual
$3,230/yr
Cap rate
13.65%
Cash-on-cash
26.28%
DSCR
2.17
1% rule
1.79%
Cash to close
$12,292
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $44k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($784 rent vs $44k).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $41k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $304 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#379 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: schools D, crime D, amenities D.
Macomb CUSD 185 (town): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #410 of 620 in IL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 6.2% in Macomb — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MS0BSPBXHDFE2C
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29