2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,524 sqft ·
Built —
· Condo
· Active
· 277 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,265/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,156
Tax + insurance
−$685
HOA
−$2,345
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$476
Net cashflow
$-3,396/mo
Annual
$-40,757/yr
Cap rate
-3.62%
Cash-on-cash
-35.41%
DSCR
-0.58
1% rule
0.55%
Cash to close
$115,107
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $249k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-41k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (9.0% below list).
It's been on market 277 days — a 12% lower offer ($219k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $219k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#34 in TX, #1,678 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
Allen ISD (suburban): math 64% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #22 of 826 in TX (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 104% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-3.0%/yr); 374 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate -3.6% vs local median 2.6% in Allen — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 277 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The roof footprint is visible, but no specific details about the roof condition can be determined from the satellite image.
Major: exterior
— The satellite image shows a large, open lot with no visible structures or landscaping.
Major: landscaping
— The satellite image shows a large, open lot with no visible landscaping or curb appeal.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MSE4GGC27PHY5C
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29