4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,000 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,039/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,033
Tax + insurance
−$1,989
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,478
Net cashflow
$-462/mo
Annual
$-5,541/yr
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.57%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$215,320
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $769k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-462 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $687k (10.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $704k (8.5% below list).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $687k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $23k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#159 in NY, #2,451 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities D-, cost of living F, health & safety D-.
Tuckahoe Union Free School District (suburban): math 71% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #133 of 755 in NY (top 18%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: William E Cottle School (math 84% / reading 74%, grade A, #188 of 2,108 statewide, top 11%, 528 students, 17% FRL); Tuckahoe Middle School (math 50% / reading 70%, grade B, #161 of 729 statewide, top 24%, 278 students, 18% FRL); Tuckahoe High School (math 95%, 292 students, 23% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 245 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.2% in Eastchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,039/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($126k/yr) (locally 357% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MSG0H80YYEG0QT
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29