3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,334 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,312/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$270
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$275
Net cashflow
$-15/mo
Annual
$-184/yr
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.44%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-15 ($-184/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (1.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (12.0% below list).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $131k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,103 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Whitehall Central School District (rural): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #530 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Whitehall Elementary School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,786 of 2,108 statewide, top 86%, 353 students, 63% FRL); Whitehall Junior-Senior High School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #912 of 1,100 statewide, top 85%, 320 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 43% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 106 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $120k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MSGB6DDGJDPZER
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29