3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,560 sqft ·
Built 1988
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,156/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,331
Tax + insurance
−$155
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$453
Net cashflow
$216/mo
Annual
$2,597/yr
Cap rate
7.32%
Cash-on-cash
3.65%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$71,092
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $254k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $216k (15.1% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $216k (15.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#69 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D, commute F.
Johnston County Public Schools (rural): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #105 of 178 in NC (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mcgee'S Crossroads Elem (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #694 of 1,410 statewide, top 53%, 890 students, 56% FRL); Mcgee'S Crossroads Middle (math 26% / reading 40%, grade F, #305 of 475 statewide, top 65%, 749 students, 47% FRL); West Johnston High (math 44% / reading 47%, grade D-, #347 of 535 statewide, top 65%, 1,469 students, 38% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 662 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,783 units permitted in Johnston County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Johnston County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $76k; list at $254k implies a 236% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.9% in Angier — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MSNKQX6DGAZRVV
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29