2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,350 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Townhouse
· Active
· 206 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,603/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$248
HOA
−$275
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$337
Net cashflow
$-143/mo
Annual
$-1,713/yr
Cap rate
5.28%
Cash-on-cash
-3.62%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-143 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (14.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (5.1% below list).
It's been on market 206 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $144k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#180 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Oakcliff Elementary School (math 15% / reading 21%, grade F, #926 of 1,228 statewide, top 76%, 660 students, 94% FRL); Mcnair Middle School (math 5% / reading 8%, grade F, #457 of 470 statewide, top 98%, 857 students, 100% FRL); Mcnair High School (math 2% / reading 5%, grade F, #413 of 424 statewide, top 99%, 768 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 68% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 9% at this address vs 24% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Dekalb County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 356 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 206 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MXEZCW4P8H8G9Z
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29