6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,380 sqft ·
Built 1968
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 152 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,573/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,550
Tax + insurance
−$1,668
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,800
Net cashflow
$-1,445/mo
Annual
$-17,337/yr
Cap rate
4.90%
Cash-on-cash
-4.96%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$349,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $1.25M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-722/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $994k (20.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $857k (31.4% below list).
It's been on market 152 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.10M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $857k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $37k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 452 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 35586% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $1.07M; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,573/mo this rent would consume 99% of the median local household income ($103k/yr) (locally 2105% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 152 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-MXH6EHEM2W6R5R
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29