3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,428 sqft ·
Built 1987
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,091/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$118
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$229
Net cashflow
$115/mo
Annual
$1,378/yr
Cap rate
7.44%
Cash-on-cash
4.10%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (9.1% below list).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $109k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#380 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities F.
Lindsay (town): math 21% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #141 of 270 in OK (top 52%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Lindsay Es (math 25% / reading 24%, grade F, #354 of 845 statewide, top 47%, 606 students, 0% FRL); Lindsay Hs (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #314 of 447 statewide, top 72%, 324 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Garvin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Garvin County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $57k; list at $120k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (7.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MXWHE3C8GGMPTW
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29