3080 Stone Lick Rd

Ripley, WV 25248

$40,000B

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Built 1975 · Manufactured · Active · 53 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $882/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$210
• Tax + insurance: −$28
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$185
• Net cashflow: $459/mo
• Annual: $5,507/yr
• Cap rate: 20.06%
• Cash-on-cash: 49.17%
• DSCR: 3.19
• 1% rule: 2.21%
• Cash to close: $11,200

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($882 rent vs $40k).
• It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $618 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#35 in WV, #4,915 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F, employment D-.
• Jackson County Schools (town): math 38% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #4 of 55 in WV (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Kenna Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #39 of 377 statewide, top 12%, 238 students, 0% FRL); Ripley Middle School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #28 of 109 statewide, top 27%, 613 students, 0% FRL); Ripley High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #42 of 110 statewide, top 47%, 812 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 41% district-wide (41 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Jackson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 20.1% vs local median 2.7% in Ripley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.