3080 Stone Lick Rd · Ripley, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 2BR/2BA on 0.41 acres in a quiet country setting—minutes from I-77! Bright, open layout, cozy living space, and a well-equipped kitchen. Covered front porch for relaxing and enjoying the peaceful views. Easy living with the perfect mix of comfort and convenience!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- 0.41 acre lot
- Built 1975
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Residential mobile home
- Exterior features: Metal roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Insulated windows; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($882 rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.1% vs local median 2.7% in Ripley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#35 in WV, #4,915 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F, employment D-.
- Jackson County Schools (town): math 38% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #4 of 55 in WV (top 7%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kenna Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #39 of 377 statewide, top 12%, 238 students, 0% FRL); Ripley Middle School (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #28 of 109 statewide, top 27%, 613 students, 0% FRL); Ripley High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #42 of 110 statewide, top 47%, 812 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 41% district-wide (41 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $618 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.17%
- DSCR
- 3.19
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $25,234
- Equity at exit
- $8,620
- IRR
- 52.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.52×
- Total profit
- $61,848
- Equity at exit
- $8,196
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25248
- Home prices YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $882 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$12 /mo · $141/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$185
- Net cashflow
- $459
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $40,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $40,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $40,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $40,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $40,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $40,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $40,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $40,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $40,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-04-26$40,000 Active
-
2025-10-24$40,000 Active
-
2025-04-24price $40,000
-
2025-03-14$50,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $141 · $12/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $236 · $20/mo
- Expected delta
- +$95/yr (+$8/mo · 67.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,588
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$141
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$847
- − Management
- −$847
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $5,149
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,236
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,271/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400540
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,632
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5070
- State rank
- #4 of 55 in WV
Livability — Ripley
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #35
- US rank
- #4915
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,546
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,752 people
- By 2030
- 28,271 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 26,970 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 25,248 · -12.2%
- By 2075
- 20,926 · -27.2%
- By 2100
- 15,573 · -45.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.1% · R 77.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.5pp toward R · 2008: -18.7pp · 2024: -56.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.2 2020: R+51.0 2016: R+52.1 2012: R+30.9 2008: R+18.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.54%
- Current HPI
- 169.7134
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-20.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-26 Listed $40,000 KVBOR
- 2025-10-24 Listed $40,000 KVBOR
- 2025-04-24 Price Changed $40,000 KVBOR
- 2025-03-14 Listed $50,000 KVBOR
Property tax history
+12.6%/yrLatest (2025): $141 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…