1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
860 sqft ·
Built —
· Condo
· Under Contract
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,869/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$332
HOA
−$1,054
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$603
Net cashflow
$-162/mo
Annual
$-1,948/yr
Cap rate
5.31%
Cash-on-cash
-3.50%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
1.44%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-162 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (11.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $199k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $176k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 89/100 on livability (#2 in NJ, #139 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Fort Lee School District (suburban): math 46% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #105 of 472 in NJ (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: School No. 2 (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #176 of 1,303 statewide, top 15%, 357 students, 15% FRL); Lewis F. Cole Middle School (math 43% / reading 64%, grade C+, #77 of 431 statewide, top 18%, 1,194 students, 16% FRL); Fort Lee High School (math 35% / reading 66%, grade D+, #101 of 399 statewide, top 26%, 1,160 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 14% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 207 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,488 units permitted in Bergen County in 2024 (1,610 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bergen County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $128k; list at $199k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 1.5% in Fort Lee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MYZ1ET7N28NZCV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29