15412 E 42nd Pl

Independence, MO 64055

$184,000C

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,526 sqft · Built 1964 · SingleFamily · Pending · 130 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,823/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$965
• Tax + insurance: −$284
• HOA: −$4
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$383
• Net cashflow: $187/mo
• Annual: $2,246/yr
• Cap rate: 7.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.36%
• DSCR: 1.19
• 1% rule: 0.99%
• Cash to close: $51,520

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $184k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (0.9% below list).
• It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $162k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in MO, #1,296 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
• Independence 30 (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #252 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: William Southern Elem. (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #761 of 1,115 statewide, top 72%, 430 students, 73% FRL); Bridger Middle (math 32% / reading 38%, grade F, #240 of 391 statewide, top 62%, 770 students, 65% FRL); Truman High (math 18% / reading 34%, grade F, #430 of 521 statewide, top 83%, 1,662 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 63% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 6 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $37k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.0% in Independence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.