16 bd · 8.0 ba ·
11,277 sqft ·
Built 1906
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$37,801/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$19,665
Tax + insurance
−$6,250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$7,938
Net cashflow
$3,947/mo
Annual
$47,369/yr
Cap rate
7.56%
Cash-on-cash
4.51%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$1,050,000
Investor read
This is a 8 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $3.75M. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($47k/yr) — positive. Per door: $493/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($38k rent vs $3.75M).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($3.64M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $3.64M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $401k of equity ($26k loan paydown + $375k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.7%/yr); 120 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.7% rent growth), your $1.05M cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$644k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $37,801/mo this rent would consume 448% of the median local household income ($101k/yr) (locally 4473% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MZCZ4WD3F8Q945
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29