3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,286 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,843/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$991
Tax + insurance
−$488
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$387
Net cashflow
$-24/mo
Annual
$-283/yr
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.53%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$52,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-283/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $185k (2.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (2.5% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $184k (2.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-.
Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Bazoline E. Usher/Collier Heights Elmentary School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,092 of 1,228 statewide, top 91%, 398 students, 100% FRL); John Lewis Invictus Academy (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #470 of 470 statewide, top 100%, 825 students, 100% FRL); Frederick Douglass High School (math 24%, 1,112 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 71% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 6% at this address vs 32% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Atlanta Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 293 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $156k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-MZF9714DXBQDMH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29