2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
616 sqft ·
Built 1934
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$852/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$142
Tax + insurance
−$32
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$179
Net cashflow
$499/mo
Annual
$5,988/yr
Cap rate
28.47%
Cash-on-cash
79.21%
DSCR
4.52
1% rule
3.16%
Cash to close
$7,560
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $27k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $499 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($852 rent vs $27k).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $26k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($187 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#310 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Lauderdale County (town): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #132 of 139 in TN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ripley Elementary (math 9% / reading 14%, grade F, #805 of 952 statewide, top 85%, 480 students, 0% FRL); Ripley High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #259 of 332 statewide, top 79%, 658 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lauderdale County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N0FC8G03AP5VQF
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29