3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1933
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 56 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,068/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$219
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$224
Net cashflow
$22/mo
Annual
$261/yr
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.81%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($261/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (7.1% below list).
It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#37 in WI, #750 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: schools C-, employment F.
Ashland School District (town): math 16% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #325 of 342 in WI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ashland County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.5% in Ashland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N0JT64C4MEKSCY
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29