2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,368 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,756/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,928
Tax + insurance
−$1,220
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,209
Net cashflow
$-600/mo
Annual
$-7,203/yr
Cap rate
5.33%
Cash-on-cash
-3.43%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$209,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $749k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-600 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $643k (14.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $576k (23.2% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $576k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#491 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, cost of living F.
Mamaroneck Union Free School District (suburban): math 74% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #47 of 590 in NY (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Mamaroneck Avenue School (math 43% / reading 60%, grade C-, #1,041 of 2,108 statewide, top 50%, 684 students, 49% FRL); Hommocks School (math 65% / reading 79%, grade A, #76 of 729 statewide, top 11%, 1,258 students, 20% FRL); Mamaroneck High School (math 95% / reading 91%, grade A+, #147 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 1,660 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools average 31% FRL vs 12% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $233k; list at $749k implies a 221% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.1% in Mamaroneck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,756/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($126k/yr) (locally 1152% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N0YYN65SBHHMZ7
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29