420 Grant Ter · Mamaroneck, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +9.3/30.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$749,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A rare ranch-style home ideally located in sought-after Harbor Heights. Offering 4 bedrooms, 2.1 bathrooms, and 2,368 square feet (approx. ), this home is set on a quiet cul-de-sac on . 29 acres, providing a lovely setting with scenic treetop views. The property features an expansive front yard with a patio, ideal for outdoor entertaining and gardening. A wonderful opportunity to update, expand, or customize to suit your needs. The main level includes an entry foyer with closet, an oversized living room with a wood-burning fireplace and sliding doors to a terrace overlooking the treetops, an eat-in kitchen with stainless steel appliances, dining area, and oversized pantry, a full hall bathr
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1955
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Private garage with 1 garage space; Additional storage; Garage and driveway access
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Electric service by Con-Edison; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Phone connected; Public trash collection; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Actual property condition
- Construction: Block foundation; Block, frame, and wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Balcony; Outdoor lighting; Mailbox; Back yard; Front yard; Garden; Landscaped grounds; Level lot; Cul-de-sac location; Near public transit, schools, and shops; Private setting; Wooded areas; No waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: Includes a bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Hardwood; Linoleum; Tile
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bath; Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Original details; Storage; Walk-through kitchen; Aluminum window frames with blinds, drapes, and screens; Covered terrace
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in the basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $749k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-545 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $653k (12.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $583k (22.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $583k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.1% in Mamaroneck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#491 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, cost of living F.
- Mamaroneck Union Free School District (suburban): math 74% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #47 of 590 in NY (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Mamaroneck Avenue School (math 43% / reading 60%, grade C-, #1,041 of 2,108 statewide, top 50%, 684 students, 49% FRL); Hommocks School (math 65% / reading 79%, grade A, #76 of 729 statewide, top 11%, 1,258 students, 20% FRL); Mamaroneck High School (math 95% / reading 91%, grade A+, #147 of 1,100 statewide, top 14%, 1,660 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools average 31% FRL vs 12% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,826/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($126k/yr) (locally 1152% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $233k; list at $749k implies a 221% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.12%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,172,712
- List price
- $749,000
- Delta
- -36.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Braxmar Dr S | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,220 (-6%) | 6mo | $1,103,000 | $497 | 60 |
| 426 Chestnut Ave | 0.21mi | 3/3.5 (+1) | 2,300 (-3%) | 22mo | $975,000 | $424 | 58 |
| 340 Wagner Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 2,430 (+3%) | 16mo | $999,999 | $412 | 45 |
| 17 Bellain Ave | 0.41mi | 3/3.5 (+1) | 2,658 (+12%) | 9mo | $1,315,000 | $495 | 44 |
| 314 Hunter St | 0.59mi | 3/3.5 (+1) | 2,088 (-12%) | 0mo | $1,212,500 | $581 | 43 |
| 629 Hillside Ave | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 2,030 (-14%) | 0mo | $995,000 | $490 | 43 |
| 411 Wagner Ave | 0.55mi | 3/3.5 (+1) | 2,130 (-10%) | 11mo | $1,465,000 | $688 | 40 |
| 23 Bentay Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,028 (-14%) | 24mo | $1,024,000 | $505 | 37 |
| 89 Park Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,173 (-8%) | 13mo | $840,000 | $387 | 35 |
| 215 Frank Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 2,081 (-12%) | 7mo | $1,400,923 | $673 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-133,503
- Equity at exit
- $111,678
- IRR
- -3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-61,024
- Equity at exit
- $64,760
Cash invested: $209,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10543
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,826 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,928
- Tax from tax record
- −$908 /mo · $10,891/yr
- Insurance
- −$312
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,223
- Net cashflow
- $-545
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-121 | -5% $-333 | +0% $-545 | +5% $-757 | +10% $-969 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,005 | -5% $-775 | +0% $-545 | +5% $-315 | +10% $-85 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-168 | -0.5pp $-354 | base $-545 | +0.5pp $-739 | +1.0pp $-936 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $187,250
- Closing costs
- $22,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 621 2nd St Mamaroneck, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2060 | $3,000 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 140 Rockwell St Unit A Harrison, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $7,000 | $3.78 | 5d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 69 Oak St Unit B Harrison, NY | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2100 | $7,000 | $3.33 | 1d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 69 Ellsworth Ave Harrison, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $6,500 | $3.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 8 Davenport St Harrison, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $5,000 | $2.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 89 Crystal St Harrison, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $8,250 | $4.85 | 19d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 87 Crystal St Harrison, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $8,250 | $4.85 | 19d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 332 Halstead Ave Harrison, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1116 | $5,902 | $5.29 | 1d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 658 Shore Acres Dr Mamaroneck, NY | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2062 | $18,000 | $8.73 | 1d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 1683-char remark
-
2026-05-04$749,000 Active 1683-char remark
-
1998-12-03soldstatus $233,000
-
1986-05-19soldstatus $199,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $10,891 · $908/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,774 · $981/mo
- Expected delta
- +$884/yr (+$74/mo · 8.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $69,914
- − Mortgage interest
- −$41,956
- − Property taxes
- −$10,891
- − Insurance
- −$3,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,593
- − Management
- −$5,593
- − Depreciation
- −$21,789
- Taxable loss
- −$19,652
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,717
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,821/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mamaroneck Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3618240
- Math proficiency
- 74% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 81% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $111,011
- Composite
- 71.4/100
- National rank
- #228
- State rank
- #47 of 590 in NY
Livability — Mamaroneck
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #491
- US rank
- #8656
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mamaroneck, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 20,989
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,989
- Household income
- $126,417
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1152.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 11% Asian 5% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 3% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Indo-European 8% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -220.53%
- Current HPI
- 268.4687
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.70%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+275.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Listed $749,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $233,000 Public Records
- 1986-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $199,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $10,891 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…