2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,155 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 184 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,073/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,284
Tax + insurance
−$321
HOA
−$46
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$435
Net cashflow
$-14/mo
Annual
$-167/yr
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.24%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$68,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-167/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (1.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (15.4% below list).
It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $207k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#483 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Chsd 117 (suburban): math 36% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #135 of 620 in IL (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
13 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N1J5PS9ZVPFSFG
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29