729 17th Ave

Longmont, CO 80501

$93,000C+

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 944 sqft · Built 1992 · Manufactured · Pending · 138 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,604/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$488
• Tax + insurance: −$155
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$337
• Net cashflow: $624/mo
• Annual: $7,492/yr
• Cap rate: 14.35%
• Cash-on-cash: 28.77%
• DSCR: 2.28
• 1% rule: 1.72%
• Cash to close: $26,040

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $93k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $624 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $93k).
• It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $82k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $643 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#24 in CO, #2,736 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• St. Vrain Valley School District No. Re1J (suburban): math 32% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #23 of 86 in CO (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Sanborn Elementary School (math 30% / reading 32%, grade F, #496 of 966 statewide, top 52%, 267 students, 60% FRL); Longs Peak Middle School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #229 of 270 statewide, top 86%, 396 students, 76% FRL); Longmont High School (math 30% / reading 58%, grade F, #149 of 381 statewide, top 39%, 1,262 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 27% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 179 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,688 units permitted in Boulder County in 2024 (1,136 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Boulder County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 6 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask is 90% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 2.6% in Longmont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.