6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,994 sqft ·
Built 1938
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,713/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$501
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$780
Net cashflow
$1,388/mo
Annual
$16,661/yr
Cap rate
14.67%
Cash-on-cash
29.90%
DSCR
2.33
1% rule
1.87%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.2-bath units multifamily listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $694/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $199k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $193k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#303 in NY, #4,992 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
Union-Endicott Central School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #387 of 590 in NY (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: George F Johnson Elementary School (math 35% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,410 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 596 students, 44% FRL); Jennie F Snapp Middle School (math 31% / reading 51%, grade F, #402 of 729 statewide, top 56%, 822 students, 65% FRL); Union-Endicott High School (math 91% / reading 90%, grade A+, #231 of 1,100 statewide, top 21%, 999 students, 41% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.1%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $110k; list at $199k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.1% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 4.0% in Endwell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,713/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 1480% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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