4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,260 sqft ·
Built 1925
· Other
· Active
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,661/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,096
Tax + insurance
−$460
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$349
Net cashflow
$-244/mo
Annual
$-2,928/yr
Cap rate
4.89%
Cash-on-cash
-5.00%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$58,520
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $209k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-244 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (20.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (20.5% below list).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $166k (20.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#5 in SD, #757 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
Vermillion School District 13-1 (town): math 44% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #27 of 59 in SD (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 28 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clay County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $165k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.5% in Vermillion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N58TQ96MQP165J
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29