22 N Yale St · Vermillion, SD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,342 – $2,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2 story 1920's home with original woodwork throughout! This is a well-maintained rental, registered with the Vermillion Rental Registry. Featuring 5 nice sized bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, there is ample of space in this home to continue as a very nice rental property or equally as such an owner-occupied home. Come take a look!
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Pool
- Built 1925
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $209k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-244 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (20.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (20.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $166k (20.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.5% in Vermillion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#5 in SD, #757 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Vermillion School District 13-1 (town): math 44% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #27 of 59 in SD (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 28 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clay County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $165k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.00%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $270,811
- List price
- $209,000
- Delta
- -22.82%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.16×
- Total profit
- $-49,313
- Equity at exit
- $31,163
- IRR
- -20.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.07×
- Total profit
- $-62,570
- Equity at exit
- $18,071
Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Dakota
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 57069
- Home prices YoY
- -32.8%
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,661 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,096
- Tax from tax record
- −$373 /mo · $4,475/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $-244
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-126 | -5% $-185 | +0% $-244 | +5% $-303 | +10% $-362 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-375 | -5% $-310 | +0% $-244 | +5% $-178 | +10% $-113 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-139 | -0.5pp $-191 | base $-244 | +0.5pp $-298 | +1.0pp $-353 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,250
- Closing costs
- $6,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 N Pine St Vermillion, SD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2304 | $2,100 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $209,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $209,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $209,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $209,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $209,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $209,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $209,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $209,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $209,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $209,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $209,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $209,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $214,800 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $214,800 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $214,800 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $214,800 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-04-17$214,800 Active 341-char remark
Show marketing remark (341 chars)
Charming 2 story 1920's home with original woodwork throughout! This is a well-maintained rental, registered with the Vermillion Rental Registry. Featuring 5 nice sized bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, there is ample of space in this home to continue as a very nice rental property or equally as such an owner-occupied home. Come take a look!
-
2021-11-24soldstatus $165,000 292-char remark
Show marketing remark (292 chars)
Wonderful 2 story, 5 bedroom, 2 bath home located 2 blocks south of the University of South Dakota campus and a few clocks away from downtown Vermillion. The second floor bedrooms are very large and spacious! This home is on the Vermillion Rental Registry with current lease ending 7/1/2022.
-
2021-11-16soldstatus $330,000
-
2021-10-25$169,900 292-char remark
Show marketing remark (292 chars)
Wonderful 2 story, 5 bedroom, 2 bath home located 2 blocks south of the University of South Dakota campus and a few clocks away from downtown Vermillion. The second floor bedrooms are very large and spacious! This home is on the Vermillion Rental Registry with current lease ending 7/1/2022.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,475 · $373/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,475 · $373/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,929
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,707
- − Property taxes
- −$4,475
- − Insurance
- −$1,045
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,594
- − Management
- −$1,594
- − Depreciation
- −$6,080
- Taxable loss
- −$6,566
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,576
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,352/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vermillion School District 13-1
- NCES district ID
- 4674370
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,421
- Composite
- 43.49/100
- National rank
- #2995
- State rank
- #27 of 59 in SD
Livability — Vermillion
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #757
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vermillion, SD
- County
- Clay County · 13,091 people
- City population
- 13,091
- Metro
- Vermillion, SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,091
- Household income
- $53,327
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 792.0
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,009 people
- By 2030
- 15,554 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 15,862 · +5.7%
- By 2050
- 16,801 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 20,880 · +39.1%
- By 2100
- 27,360 · +82.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Native American 5% Asian 3% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 9% Iranian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+6.5) · D 52.0% · R 45.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: 24.2pp · 2024: 6.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+6.5 2020: D+11.0 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+15.5 2008: D+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.55%
- Current HPI
- 185.1311
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Vermillion, SD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | 1 | $1B |
|
||
Price history
+26.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $214,800 NWIA
- 2021-11-24 Sold (MLS) $165,000 NWIA
- 2021-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $330,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-25 Listed $169,900 NWIA
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,475 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…