2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
684 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Condo
· Active
· 587 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,645/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$653
HOA
−$1,220
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$555
Net cashflow
$-1,016/mo
Annual
$-12,196/yr
Cap rate
3.28%
Cash-on-cash
-10.76%
DSCR
0.52
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$65,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $55k (76.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
It's been on market 587 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $55k (76.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 46% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 814 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.3% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 587 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 76% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N5DPPQ96ZMNBNA
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29