3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,312 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,625/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,022
Tax + insurance
−$286
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$341
Net cashflow
$-24/mo
Annual
$-293/yr
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.54%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$54,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24 ($-293/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (2.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (16.6% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $163k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#198 in OH, #3,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
Lexington Local (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #113 of 656 in OH (top 17%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 145 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richland County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $124k; list at $195k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.4% in Lexington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N5E15KDM2P2ND6
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29