2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,536 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Land
· Active
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,238/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$519
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$701
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$470
Net cashflow
$383/mo
Annual
$4,591/yr
Cap rate
10.93%
Cash-on-cash
16.56%
DSCR
1.74
1% rule
2.26%
Cash to close
$27,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $99k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $383 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#121 in CA, #4,255 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, amenities B; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, cost of living F.
Hanford Joint Union High (urban): math 20% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #765 of 1,400 in CA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Joseph M. Simas (math 32% / reading 50%, grade F, #595 of 1,571 statewide, top 38%, 508 students, 58% FRL); Woodrow Wilson Junior High (math 34% / reading 49%, grade F, #146 of 498 statewide, top 29%, 569 students, 75% FRL); Hanford West High (1,332 students, 77% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 434 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 741 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
47 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask is 98% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $99k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.9% in Hanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N5E93611A0B40J
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29