3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,816 sqft ·
Built 1959
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 57 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,031/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$802
Tax + insurance
−$207
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$427
Net cashflow
$596/mo
Annual
$7,148/yr
Cap rate
10.97%
Cash-on-cash
16.70%
DSCR
1.74
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$42,812
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $153k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $596 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $153k).
It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#23 in CO, #2,639 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
Colorado Springs School District No. 11 In The County Of E (urban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #56 of 86 in CO (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Rogers Elementary School (math 5% / reading 12%, grade F, #922 of 966 statewide, top 97%, 295 students, 79% FRL); Galileo School of Math And Science (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #260 of 270 statewide, top 99%, 382 students, 84% FRL); Palmer High School (math 26% / reading 58%, grade F, #155 of 381 statewide, top 42%, 1,384 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 49% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $18k; list at $153k implies a 749% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 3.3% in Colorado Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N6VXPXCWSJ7Z2J
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29