1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
758 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Active
· 299 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,113/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$209
HOA
−$452
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$444
Net cashflow
$-119/mo
Annual
$-1,424/yr
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.36%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-119 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (9.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (1.7% below list).
It's been on market 299 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $189k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#87 in FL, #1,407 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: E.W.F. Stirrup Elementary School (math 63% / reading 64%, grade B, #564 of 2,144 statewide, top 27%, 645 students, 57% FRL); Ruben Dario Middle School (math 32% / reading 45%, grade F, #384 of 571 statewide, top 68%, 549 students, 62% FRL); Miami Coral Park Senior High (math 25% / reading 44%, grade F, #386 of 667 statewide, top 59%, 2,190 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $155k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.8% in Fountainebleau — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 299 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-N7T542AFA2C0BB
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29