3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,770 sqft ·
Built 2004
· Condo
· Under Contract
· 137 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,804/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,008
Tax + insurance
−$433
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$589
Net cashflow
$-226/mo
Annual
$-2,713/yr
Cap rate
5.58%
Cash-on-cash
-2.53%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$107,212
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $383k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-226 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $343k (10.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $280k (26.8% below list).
It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($337k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $280k (26.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Seatack Elementary An Achievable Dream Academy (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #696 of 1,108 statewide, top 66%, 379 students, 93% FRL); First Colonial High (math 76% / reading 81%, grade A-, #75 of 319 statewide, top 25%, 1,797 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 28% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 397 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).
Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $310k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N8S4CDFNZYY9Y9
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29