3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,406 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,939/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$306
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$407
Net cashflow
$20/mo
Annual
$234/yr
Cap rate
6.39%
Cash-on-cash
0.36%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$64,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $20 ($234/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (15.7% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $194k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in MO, #1,296 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
Fort Osage R-I (rural): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #213 of 324 in MO (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Blue Hills Elem. (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #537 of 1,115 statewide, top 53%, 352 students, 42% FRL); Osage Trail Middle (math 21% / reading 42%, grade F, #276 of 391 statewide, top 71%, 793 students, 46% FRL); Fort Osage High (math 33% / reading 48%, grade F, #240 of 521 statewide, top 46%, 1,557 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.0% in Independence — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N8YV721RXA7EP1
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29