19808 E 17th Street Ct N · Independence, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tri-level on cul-de-sac, Family Rm with fireplace possible 4th Bdrm on lower level, Deck and Gazebo off the dining rm his & her's closets in master bedrm double vanity in bath. Newer garage doors.
Key facts
- 7,966 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1977
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount available
Exterior
- Parking: Built-in garage with front-facing door and opener; 2-car garage
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Tri-level entry; Board & batten siding with brick trim; Composition roof
- Construction: Board & batten siding with brick trim; Composition roof; Built approximately 41–50 years ago; Basement (partial) with inside entrance and a basement bedroom
- Exterior features: Deck; Gazebo; Property located on a cul-de-sac; Paved road with public maintenance; Not in a flood plain
Interior
- Kitchen: Pantry; Dishwasher; Disposal; Exhaust fan; Electric range / Free-standing electric oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the second level)
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms, living and dining areas; Luxury vinyl in kitchen
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling; Attic fan
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Pantry; Window coverings; Storm windows; Storm door(s); Fireplace screen; Tri-level floor plan; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on lower level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $20 ($234/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (15.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $194k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.0% in Independence — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in MO, #1,296 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
- Fort Osage R-I (rural): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #213 of 324 in MO (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Blue Hills Elem. (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #537 of 1,115 statewide, top 53%, 352 students, 42% FRL); Osage Trail Middle (math 21% / reading 42%, grade F, #276 of 391 statewide, top 71%, 793 students, 46% FRL); Fort Osage High (math 33% / reading 48%, grade F, #240 of 521 statewide, top 46%, 1,557 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.36%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $243,238
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1621 N Belvidere Ave | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 | 1,362 (-3%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $180 | 90 |
| 1607 N Belvidere Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,314 (-6%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $122 | 79 |
| 20242 E 17th Street Ct N | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,336 (-5%) | 1mo | $268,000 | $201 | 78 |
| 1422 N Blue Mills Rd | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,447 (+3%) | 3mo | $228,000 | $158 | 74 |
| 2006 N Plymouth Rd | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+7%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $167 | 61 |
| 2103 N York Rd | 0.59mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,361 (-3%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $173 | 59 |
| 20405 E 15th Ter | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,594 (+13%) | 1mo | $255,000 | $160 | 57 |
| 2015 N Lazy Branch Rd | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,490 (+6%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $117 | 52 |
| 19115 E Roxsbury Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-11%) | 2mo | $259,000 | $208 | 48 |
| 1600 N Dover St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (-14%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $206 | 46 |
| 1320 N Holland Ct | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,613 (+15%) | 2mo | $367,900 | $228 | 46 |
| 19201 E 13th Ter | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,534 (+9%) | 5mo | $252,000 | $164 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-34,550
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-22,333
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64056
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 106
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,939 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$210 /mo · $2,522/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $20
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $150 | -5% $85 | +0% $20 | +5% $-46 | +10% $-111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-134 | -5% $-57 | +0% $20 | +5% $96 | +10% $173 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $135 | -0.5pp $78 | base $20 | +0.5pp $-40 | +1.0pp $-101 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1617 N Belvidere Ave Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1642 | $2,006 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1604 N Glen Ellyn St Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $1,845 | $1.39 | 17d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 18813 Lexington Rd Independence, MO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1190 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 4d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 18410 E Shoshone Dr Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1426 | $1,450 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1406 N Ponca Dr Independence, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,650 | $1.18 | 5d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 19246 E Ponca Dr Independence, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,700 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 19200 E Ponca Ter Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $1,973 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-17status $230,000 Pending 1 DOM
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $230,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $230,000 Coming Soon 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $230,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $230,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $230,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$230,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,522 · $210/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,522 · $210/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,266
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$2,522
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,861
- − Management
- −$1,861
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$3,703
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$889
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,123/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Osage R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2912290
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,441
- Composite
- 29.78/100
- National rank
- #6428
- State rank
- #213 of 324 in MO
Livability — Independence
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #1296
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Independence, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 117,675
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,395
- Household income
- $67,685
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 747.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 9% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -163.60%
- Current HPI
- 286.349
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.76%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+101.9% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Coming Soon $230,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-10-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2004-10-21 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-07-22 Listed $113,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1991-11-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,522 · -4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…