3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,032 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 158 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$955/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$115
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$201
Net cashflow
$220/mo
Annual
$2,643/yr
Cap rate
9.60%
Cash-on-cash
11.81%
DSCR
1.53
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $220 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($955 rent vs $80k).
It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#158 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Simpson County School District (rural): math 18% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #90 of 130 in MS (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Magee Elementary School (math 16% / reading 22%, grade F, #251 of 375 statewide, top 67%, 504 students, 99% FRL); Magee Middle School (math 14% / reading 21%, grade F, #123 of 179 statewide, top 69%, 325 students, 99% FRL); Magee High School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #184 of 197 statewide, top 94%, 405 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 76% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Simpson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Simpson County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.5% in Magee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-N9E0TDC2745610
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29