520 E Choctaw St · Magee, MS
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 Br 2 Ba cottage located cross the road from Magee Schools. All electric with central heating and cooling in 1032 sq. ft.. All she needs is a little TLC. Will not go FHA, VA or USDA financing.
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1965
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $220 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($955 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.6% in Magee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#158 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Simpson County School District (rural): math 18% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #90 of 130 in MS (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Magee Elementary School (math 16% / reading 22%, grade F, #251 of 375 statewide, top 67%, 504 students, 99% FRL); Magee Middle School (math 14% / reading 21%, grade F, #123 of 179 statewide, top 69%, 325 students, 99% FRL); Magee High School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #184 of 197 statewide, top 94%, 405 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 76% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Simpson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
- Simpson County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.81%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $130,631
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -38.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 NE 3rd St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,106 (+7%) | 4mo | $129,900 | $117 | 69 |
| 219 SE 7th Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+7%) | 13mo | $130,000 | $118 | 65 |
| 512 SW 2nd St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,093 (+6%) | 7mo | $179,900 | $165 | 54 |
| 302 SW 4th Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 995 (-4%) | 14mo | $129,900 | $131 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.04×
- Total profit
- $23,238
- Equity at exit
- $35,481
- IRR
- 19.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.84×
- Total profit
- $63,604
- Equity at exit
- $54,337
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39111
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $955 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $983/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$201
- Net cashflow
- $220
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $265 | -5% $243 | +0% $220 | +5% $198 | +10% $175 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $145 | -5% $183 | +0% $220 | +5% $258 | +10% $296 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $260 | -0.5pp $241 | base $220 | +0.5pp $200 | +1.0pp $178 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $79,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-01-14$79,900 Active 194-char remark
Show marketing remark (194 chars)
3 Br 2 Ba cottage located cross the road from Magee Schools. All electric with central heating and cooling in 1032 sq. ft.. All she needs is a little TLC. Will not go FHA, VA or USDA financing.
-
2025-03-31historical
-
2024-03-07$79,900 Active
-
2008-06-11soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $983 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $983 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,460
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$983
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$917
- − Management
- −$917
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $1,444
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$347
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,296/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Simpson County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803990
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,826
- Composite
- 17.46/100
- National rank
- #9063
- State rank
- #90 of 130 in MS
Livability — Magee
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #158
- US rank
- #15438
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Magee, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,927
Population outlook (Simpson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,197 people
- By 2030
- 25,474 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 23,811 · -9.1%
- By 2050
- 22,024 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 17,701 · -32.4%
- By 2100
- 13,732 · -47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Simpson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.7) · D 31.4% · R 68.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.3pp toward R · 2008: -22.4pp · 2024: -36.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.7 2020: R+30.4 2016: R+30.9 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- Current HPI
- 161.8264
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-14 Listed $79,900 MLSU
- 2025-03-31 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2024-03-07 Listed $79,900 MLSU
- 2008-06-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $983 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…