4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,400 sqft ·
Built 1750
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 82 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,013/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$423
Net cashflow
$1,003/mo
Annual
$12,035/yr
Cap rate
20.45%
Cash-on-cash
50.57%
DSCR
3.25
1% rule
2.37%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $80k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($588 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Woodstown-Pilesgrove Regional School District (town): math 23% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #259 of 472 in NJ (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1750 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $65k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1750 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NAERNMBY9ZFWAR
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29