3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1981
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,717/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$66
HOA
−$1,040
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$361
Net cashflow
$41/mo
Annual
$492/yr
Cap rate
7.53%
Cash-on-cash
4.40%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
4.30%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $41 ($492/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Boise Independent District (urban): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #36 of 92 in ID (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 61% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.6% in Boise City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— dated and in need of replacement
Minor: exterior paint
— worn but not peeling
CashFlowRE · CFR-NBFSH8069HVBCP
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29