3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,568 sqft ·
Built 2017
· Manufactured
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,689/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$102
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$355
Net cashflow
$603/mo
Annual
$7,237/yr
Cap rate
12.33%
Cash-on-cash
21.56%
DSCR
1.96
1% rule
1.41%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $603 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#286 in TN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A, cost of living A-; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Blount County (rural): math 29% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #52 of 139 in TN (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Prospect Elementary School (math 47% / reading 32%, grade F, #231 of 952 statewide, top 26%, 341 students, 0% FRL); Heritage Middle School (math 25% / reading 28%, grade F, #135 of 333 statewide, top 43%, 665 students, 0% FRL); Heritage High School (math 18% / reading 35%, grade F, #112 of 332 statewide, top 35%, 1,198 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 937 units permitted in Blount County in 2024 (57 in 5+ unit buildings).
Blount County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NBW5KDD3K7SRSX
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29