380 Loreeta Dr · Wildwood, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath doublewide on a large level lot in a quiet manufactured home community! Conveniently located in Walland between Seymour and Maryville! This home offers ample space, fridge, stove & amp; dishwasher, a new roof (less than a year old), and is priced to move! Call or text to schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Large level lot
- New roof
- Built 2017
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $603 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 2.8% in Wildwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#114 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Blount County (rural): math 29% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #52 of 139 in TN (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 937 units permitted in Blount County in 2024 (57 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Blount County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.56%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $258,720
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319 Oak Leaf Cir | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-4%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $165 | 81 |
| 316 Winchester Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-4%) | 22mo | $252,000 | $167 | 67 |
| 425 Bluff Mountain Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 | 1,680 (+7%) | 10mo | $234,900 | $140 | 63 |
| 226 Ginger Rd | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,782 (+14%) | 4mo | $224,900 | $126 | 56 |
| 116 Destiny Ln | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-10%) | 4mo | $295,000 | $210 | 51 |
| 315 Kirby Way | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-11%) | 22mo | $222,000 | $159 | 51 |
| 4609 Primrose Cir | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-14%) | 14mo | $219,000 | $163 | 47 |
| 110 Alfred Mccammon Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,389 (-11%) | 16mo | $265,000 | $191 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.09×
- Total profit
- $103,678
- Equity at exit
- $108,015
- IRR
- 34.8%
- Equity multiple
- 9.19×
- Total profit
- $275,040
- Equity at exit
- $232,939
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37886
- Home prices YoY
- 24.1%
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,689 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $629/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $603
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $671 | -5% $637 | +0% $603 | +5% $569 | +10% $535 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $470 | -5% $536 | +0% $603 | +5% $670 | +10% $737 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $663 | -0.5pp $634 | base $603 | +0.5pp $572 | +1.0pp $540 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 330-char remark
-
2026-05-31$119,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $629 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $851 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- +$222/yr (+$19/mo · 35.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,267
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$629
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,621
- − Management
- −$1,621
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $5,592
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,342
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,895/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Blount County
- NCES district ID
- 4700300
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,764
- Composite
- 25.99/100
- National rank
- #7322
- State rank
- #52 of 139 in TN
Livability — Wildwood
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #114
- US rank
- #11307
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,585
Population outlook (Blount County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,873 people
- By 2030
- 139,460 · +2.6%
- By 2040
- 144,767 · +6.5%
- By 2050
- 147,393 · +8.5%
- By 2075
- 151,597 · +11.6%
- By 2100
- 147,393 · +8.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · South Korea, Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Blount
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.7) · D 25.5% · R 73.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.4pp toward R · 2008: -39.4pp · 2024: -47.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.7 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+48.8 2012: R+45.7 2008: R+39.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 91.93%
- Current HPI
- 474.0699
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $119,900 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $629 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…