2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
816 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,083/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$113
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$227
Net cashflow
$-149/mo
Annual
$-1,786/yr
Cap rate
5.24%
Cash-on-cash
-3.75%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$47,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-149 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (15.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (36.3% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $108k (36.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#70 in NY, #1,048 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
Mayfield Central School District (town): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #400 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mayfield Elementary School (math 36% / reading 62%, grade D, #1,177 of 2,108 statewide, top 56%, 430 students, 0% FRL); Mayfield Jr/Sr High School (math 52% / reading 42%, grade D-, #1,007 of 1,100 statewide, top 93%, 400 students, 48% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 8.6% in Gloversville — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NDJWY790V5EBAF
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29