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591 County Highway 146
D Composite 43.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.4/10.0

$169,900

591 County Highway 146 · Gloversville, NY 12078
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 816 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1950 1.94 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity is waiting in the Mayfield School District with this year round 2 bedroom, 1 bath ranch set on 1.94 peaceful acres with wooded surroundings and a picturesque creek on the property. Whether you are a first time buyer, downsizing, or looking for a manageable home with room to make it your own, this property offers a great starting point. The main level features an eat in kitchen, comfortable living room, two bedrooms, and a full bath, all on one floor for easy everyday living. The enclosed 3 season front porch adds extra space to relax, enjoy morning coffee, or take in the natural setting with abundance of wildlife. Some updating will make this home an ideal opportunity for buyers

Key facts

  • Wooded surroundings
  • Eat in kitchen
  • Picturesque creek

Tags

1 ACRE LOTWOODED SURROUNDINGSPICTURESQUE CREEKEAT IN KITCHENENCLOSED 3 SEASON FRONT PORCHFULL DRY BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street paved driveway parking for 6 vehicles
  • Utilities: Electric service with fuses; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-family residence
  • Construction: Clapboard exterior; Rubber roof
  • Exterior features: Enclosed front porch; Paved driveway; Barn(s); Drive paved; Wooded lot; Creek on the property

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil)
  • Interior features: Wall paneling; Full basement with interior entry, unfinished space, and walk-out access; 5 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-149 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (15.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (36.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (36.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 8.6% in Gloversville — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#70 in NY, #1,048 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment F.
  • Mayfield Central School District (town): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #400 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mayfield Elementary School (math 36% / reading 62%, grade D, #1,177 of 2,108 statewide, top 56%, 430 students, 0% FRL); Mayfield Jr/Sr High School (math 52% / reading 42%, grade D-, #1,007 of 1,100 statewide, top 93%, 400 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fulton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,253 (36.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.64%
Cap rate
5.24%
Cash-on-cash
-3.75%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
13.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.6%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$82,965
Equity at exit
$153,059
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
6.29×
Total profit
$251,597
Equity at exit
$330,078

Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12078

Home prices YoY
12.2%
Active inventory
173
Price-to-rent
13.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,083 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $507/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$-149

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,271
Max offer price $143,610
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-53 -5% $-101 +0% $-149 +5% $-197 +10% $-245
Rent -10% $-234 -5% $-192 +0% $-149 +5% $-106 +10% $-63
Rate -1.0pp $-63 -0.5pp $-106 base $-149 +0.5pp $-193 +1.0pp $-238

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,475
Closing costs
$5,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $169,900 Pending 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $169,900 Contingent 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,900 Contingent 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,900 Contingent 10 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,900 Contingent 9 DOM
  6. 2026-05-22
    listed $169,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$507 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,689 · $141/mo
Expected delta
+$1,182/yr (+$99/mo · 233.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,990
− Mortgage interest
−$9,517
− Property taxes
−$507
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,039
− Management
−$1,039
− Depreciation
−$4,943
Taxable loss
−$4,904
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,177
After-tax cash flow
$-609/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mayfield Central School District
NCES district ID
3618750
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$51,922
Composite
42.08/100
National rank
#3322
State rank
#400 of 590 in NY

Livability — Gloversville

Score
82/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#1048

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
23,087

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
51,132 people
By 2030
49,114 · -3.9%
By 2040
44,373 · -13.2%
By 2050
39,321 · -23.1%
By 2075
28,503 · -44.3%
By 2100
19,268 · -62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 32.1% · R 67.9%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+31.4 2016: R+35.5 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 34.22%
Current HPI
315.1368
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-05-30 Contingent Global MLS
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $169,900 Global MLS

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $507 · -68.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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